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The development of a simple, low-cost methodology for obtaining substrate sandbanks parameters. This methodology, proposed in cooperation with stakeholders, will allow...

Resilience Index for Adaptive Governance of the Mussel Aquaculture Value Chain to Climate Change (RI)

The RI is a mathematical model that assesses the adaptive capacity of value chain operations to climate change. Its insights guide strategic decision-making and foster scalable solutions for risk management and sustainability.

It offers a comprehensive adaptation capacity assessment.
It fosters decision-making with a strategic focus on adaptation.
It is scalable to other sectors and regions.

Climate hazards pose a significant threat to productivity, economic stability and community resilience. The RI addresses the challenge of taking strategic decisions to adapt value chain operations to climate change amid complexity and uncertainty. It helps to identify vulnerabilities, prioritise actions, and guide effective governance to reduce risks and strengthen long-term sustainability. The RI framework integrates diverse data sources, including historical climate data, climate projections and the potential of the existing resilience factors to contribute to adaptation. Therefore, this tool is used to assess the relationship between key climate scenarios, which have the potential to negatively impact the mussel sector's productivity, and the resilience factors available to mitigate negative effects. The insights from the RI provide a comprehensive overview of sector performance and highlight areas for potential enhancement. This information empowers decision-makers to identify vulnerabilities, prioritise actions, and allocate resources effectively. This comprehensive assessment of the sector's adaptive capacity makes the RI an essential tool, with high potential in a variety of sectors, for ensuring a value chain remains resilient and sustainable, especially in the absence of strategic tools to adapt operations in the face of climate uncertainty.

TRL8. System incorporated in comercial design
The RI is currently at TRL 8, as it has been fully developed, implemented, and qualified through testing in operational environments. The first complete application of the RI was carried out in a real-world port setting in northern Galicia (Port of Punta Langosteira), where the tool was not only piloted but integrated into governance and risk management practices, demonstrating full functionality and usability. Following this, the RI was adapted and successfully applied to the mussel aquaculture sector in the Ría de Arousa, where it was again validated through participatory processes involving stakeholders, climate and operational data, and strategic planning. In both cases, the RI generated actionable insights and supported informed decision-making on climate adaptation. The tool has proven robust, replicable, and ready for broader use. Its methodological maturity, stakeholder validation, and proven impact qualify it at TRL 8. Further scaling and replication would lead it toward full deployment (TRL 9).
SRL8
The RI is currently at SRL 8, as it has been fully integrated and applied by stakeholders in operational environments. In the port sector in northern Galicia, the RI was not only developed and tested but actively used as a governance and risk management tool, guiding strategic decisions in response to climate risks. It has become part of operational planning, with direct stakeholder involvement and institutional uptake. In the mussel aquaculture case study in the Ría de Arousa, the RI was further validated through participatory processes involving stakeholders from the quintuple helix. These actors contributed directly to shaping the tool and interpreting the results to define a strategic roadmap. Survey feedback confirmed high levels of engagement, awareness, and intention to apply the RI insights in real decision-making contexts. These outcomes show that the RI is not only accepted but also embedded in stakeholder practices, confirming its maturity at SRL 8.

See more information about this level and the TRL and SRL levels.

Market assessment

The market assessment of this innovation has been self-declared by the provider and has not been independently verified. For more details, please contact the innovator directly.

The system’s main components have been individually tested, and an initial integration has been completed.

Credits
CREDITS
Innovation Manager - Andrea OGANDO-VIDAL
PhD in Business Management - Carlos RODRIGUEZ-GARCIA
Collaborators
COLLABORATORS
Xose Anton ALVAREZ-SALGADO - Institute of Marine Research (CSIC)
Silvia PIEDRACOBA - Sea Technology Centre (CETMAR)
Isabel FUENTES - Institute of Marine Research (CSIC)

How does it work?

The RI is a decision-support tool that evaluates the adaptive capacity of value chain operations to climate change. It integrates climate projections, operational processes, and expert input to assess how well a sector—such as mussel aquaculture—can respond to climate hazards. The tool is based on a formula that relates risk scenarios with resilience factors and calculates performance across five key dimensions: Governance, R&D, Risk Management, Collaboration, and Operational Environment. The result is a visual, easy-to-understand dashboard that identifies critical vulnerabilities and areas with the highest potential for improvement. This enables decision-makers to prioritise actions and allocate resources more efficiently to enhance resilience and sustainability.

The purpose of the RI is to assess the adaptative capacity of a sector’s value chain to climate change, offering practical support for governance and operational decision-making. It was developed through a participatory, science-based process that integrates expert knowledge, climate data, and insights from key stakeholders. The methodology is structured in three phases: 1. Contextualization: This phase begins with the identification of key production processes and relevant climate and oceanographic variables (e.g., air and sea temperature, rainfall, sea level, upwelling, acidification). Experts and stakeholders assess how these variables interact with operational processes to define risk scenarios. Twenty resilience factors, grouped into five dimensions—Governance, R&D, Risk Management, Collaboration, and Operational Environment—are also selected to reflect the sector’s capacity to respond. 2. Expert Consultation: Through two sets of Delphi consultation, experts evaluate the level of impact of climate risks and the moderating effect of each resilience factor. Each factor is weighed up based on its relevance to the risk scenarios, establishing its contribution to overall resilience. 3. Calculation and Output: A mathematical formula aggregates the performance and weight of each resilience factor, generating a synthetic index. The result is displayed in a visual dashboard, showing performance levels and areas for improvement. This enables decision-makers to easily interpret results, identify critical gaps and prioritize strategic actions. Originally applied to port operations, the RI has proven to be a flexible, scalable methodology that can be adapted to other regions and sectors such as mussel aquaculture. Its strength lies in transforming complex, multidimensional data into accessible, actionable insights that empower stakeholders to build long-term climate resilience. The RI not only supports climate adaptation decisions but also promotes collaboration and knowledge sharing among stakeholders.

The RI’s effectiveness depends on the availability and quality of input data. In regions with limited climate projections or sector-specific data, accuracy may be reduced. Additionally, stakeholder engagement is essential—without active participation from relevant actors, the tool may lack context-specific relevance. Finally, the model requires periodic updates to remain effective as climate risks evolve.

Further information on the RI can be found in the following video, which is available at minute 2:18.

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